REFINING ROULETTE -- Tricks? % chances, etc

[PwnageCleric]

OK, if there is a pattern or something...
1)the mid up box 2) to opposite and 1 box. 3)back to mid up. aka opposite and 1 to left.
4) 1 to left from mid top. 5) opposite + 1 right. 6) again the 1 for 4th.
7) mid right box. 8) opposite + 1 right
Ok and broke trying to gte +9 with that pattern but i use it all the time and 80% i get +6. And got over it twice.

[Zotius]

I wonder if using Probability would work. Like P(E) where P represents probability and E represents the Event. Then like

Number of Possible Succesful Outcomes
---------------------------------------
Total Number of Possible Outcomes

Stuff like that... Heard some people use it for gambling...

[Kiedo]

There are no tricks. There are no patterns. You have a certain chance to succeed and a certain chance to fail, it is random.

The fact that there is a cash shop item that gives an additional 15% chance of success is proof of that.

[PwnageCleric]

yeah but as i get there are mostly 2 spots where it'll land...1 is success another is breaking, rarely degrade or nothing.
Btw you can see if you broke the wep since the start of refining, the wep for example disappears from inv if you break :P if you keep your eye on that you wont be like GO GO GO DONT FAIL ME !! xD
+ another thing is making new chars to refine n see if you got it or broke/failed by seeing titles :P
just if you know that you failed or succeeded makes you feel better, atleast for me it does

[Enrei]

Just enhance, go off somewhere and not care about it. If it breaks, too bad, if it enhances; celebrate.