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Since I'm in a hurry (as of now), I can't really go through and critique each sentence. But the few things I caught were:
You're assuming you'll miss a good portion of hits, which on a "yellow" monster, you aren't really missing that much, if at all. This in turn leads to inaccuracy in your respective calculations that follow, as you're always using the previous value to continue, but if the first is wrong, then there is a "domino" effect of errors following. Also, the mastery skills only add 5-10 extra damage, I've checked, and felt like I could hold off from buying it since I'm broke.
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